Please see the attached Tropical Daily Planner – Atlantic for Tuesday, October 03, 2017.
An area of enhanced shower activity is occurring over the Bahamas this morning. This trough will drift westward and inland of the Southeast Coast the next 24 hours with minimal development chances. Meanwhile, Feature 27L is still several days from materializing near the Yucatan Peninsula. Latest model guidance, however, continues to hint toward at least low tropical cyclone development chances during the days three through five period. A monsoon trough is currently situated over Central America with numerous areas of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Out of this trough, a broad gyre of low pressure is forecast to eventually lift northwestward and toward the Yucatan. The ongoing ridge of high pressure along the Eastern Seaboard is forecast to break down later this week, which may coincide with the development of a more consolidated surface low into the eastern Gulf of Mexico/Florida region.
Elsewhere, tropical cyclone development chances across the Atlantic Basin will remain limited the next five days.